On
the Money Trail ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Corporate
America at its Finest
by Al Jacobs, author of Nobody's Fool
December 2007
The public
corporation is a fascinating milieu. Nowhere else will you find
achievement, reward, duplicity, and calamity so intimately
balanced. Those of you who recall the Savings and Loan scandal
of the 1980s and the Enron collapse in 2001 will recognize many
of the same factors in this latest episode: the Merrill Lynch
debacle of 2007.
The events are
not uncommon. A traditionally profitable company of
longstanding repute engages in activities that call into
question the soundness of its policies, the credibility of its
representations, and the judgment of its executives. In this
instance, the firm disclosed in late October a need to write
down $7.9 billion for the prior quarter—$3.4 billion more than
announced several weeks earlier—the loss attributable to bad
debt accumulated through investments in the subprime mortgage
industry.
Let me give
you a clearer picture of what happened. In 2006, after watching
competitors boost earnings through investment in collateralized
debt obligations (CDOs) and subprime mortgages, Merrill’s CEO,
E. Stanley O’Neal, decided to join the parade and invest heavily
in the area. Mortgage loans on properties with no securing
equity, to borrowers with poor credit, served as collateral for
bonds that Merrill packaged and resold to their investors. The
fees generated on these CDOs provided a bonanza that boosted the
firm’s quarterly profits. Everything evolved splendidly until,
as inevitable, the chickens came home to roost.
You may wonder
why such a fiasco occurred. It’s not because Stan O’Neal is
financially unsophisticated. A bachelor’s degree in industrial
administration from Kettering University and an MBA from Harvard
led to his heading Merrill’s leveraged finance division in the
early 1990s, promotion to chief financial officer in 1998, and
elevation to CEO in 2002. His depth of experience, together
with an 11-member seasoned board of directors, nine of whom he
handpicked, indicates something more than a naïve blunder. The
momentous errors in judgment must be otherwise explained.
Perhaps a few
numbers will provide a hint as to how American public
corporations function. In 2002, Mr. O’Neal received a salary of
$500,000. However, his bonus and stock options tied to
corporate performance totaled $13.8 million. By 2004 his
efforts at boosting annual corporate profits resulted in his
income rising to $28.14 million. Clearly for top corporate
executives, the elixir is short-term earnings; everything else
is secondary. On this basis, there is an inducement to pursue
activities that enhance quarterly profits despite the likelihood
of unfavorable long-term results. As evidence of this, we’ll
fast-forward to October 30, 2007—our CEO’s reconciliation with
reality. Despite the corporation’s abominable performance,
resulting in Mr. O’Neal’s ouster, he is nonetheless eligible to
receive $161.5 million as an exit package. The key, of course,
is enactment of self-serving employment contracts that are of
the executives . . . by the executives . . . and for
the executives.
In case you
believe the misfortune of Merrill Lynch and its CEO to be a rare
exception in the world of the public corporation, you need only
tune in to the agony of another financial behemoth, Citigroup
Inc., as it began to unravel on November 4, 2007. As an
enterprise whose genesis dates to the founding of Citibank in
1812, with 275,000 employees operating in more than 100
countries, Citigroup truly represents banking in America. As
one of the most active participants in the sub-prime
mortgage-backed securities market, buying billions of dollars of
mortgages and then selling them on to international investors,
it mimicked Merrill’s behavior lockstep. In September, as the
inevitable flow of red ink cascaded into a torrent, the firm
announced $2.2 billion in estimated losses for the third quarter
of 2007, but within two months disclosed the actual figure of
$11 billion. And once again, the full blame for the disaster
fell upon the CEO, Charles O. Prince, who was summarily fired
(excuse me . . . retired) with a negotiated severance
package in the neighborhood of $87 million.
As an aside,
Citigroup’s board of directors wasted no time in appointing
Prince’s successor. You might reasonably expect it to be
someone with no hint of culpability for the sub-prime mortgage
catastrophe, but guess what? The replacement is Robert Rubin,
former Treasury secretary in the Clinton administration, a board
member and chairman of the company’s executive committee. The
likelihood that Mr. Rubin,summa cum laude graduate from Harvard College with a B.A.
in economics, recipient of an L.L.B. from Yale Law School, and
attendee at the London School of Economics, knew nothing of the imperfections of his firm’s mortgage lending
activities defies logic.
Almost
immediately following the revelations at Merrill and Citigroup,
a nationwide flood of revelations began to come out of the
woodwork. Morgan Stanley, a major player in the subprime
mortgage-market, admitted to a $3.7 billion increase over the
$10.4 billion reported in August. Indy Mac Bancorp, the
nation’s second largest independent mortgage lender acknowledged
its subprime write-off to be five times larger than forecast in
September. Almost as an echo, rumblings emanated from Wachovia
Corp., Bank of America, and JP Morgan Chase & Co., as each
alluded to untold billions of lost dollars. At this moment, the
scope of the coming cataclysm can scarcely be imagined.
A final
comment is warranted. Those firms that exhibited gross
malfeasance through their involvement in this
subprime-mortgage-house-of-cards do not deserve any special
condemnation because of their egregious performance. It’s the
rare public corporation that does not function under the same
guidelines and, given similar circumstances, you may expect most
companies to perform comparably. The real criticism should be
directed at the investing public that tolerates these activities
by continuing to purchase and hold corporate securities while
refusing to demand accountability from its boards of directors.
à
à
à
Al Jacobs has been an entrepreneur for forty years. His business
experience ranges from property management and securities
investment to appraisal, civil engineering, and the operation of
a private trust company. In his book, Nobody's
Fool - A Skeptic's Guide to Prosperity, Al presents his
Ten Ground Rules for Success for achieving wealth and a
prosperous life by outlining a philosophy for spending,
borrowing, making sound investments, and how to avoid being
victimized by America's many intimidating institutions.
"Al Jacobs’ no-nonsense approach to prosperity offers
invaluable insights into the fundamentals of modern
living. From education and health to real estate,
taxes, and social security, he lays a clear path
toward success in increasingly more complex everyday
issues."
--Erin
Aislinn, author of It Happened in Florence