Excerpt from Chapter 5 of
Nobody's Fool
"Taking Stock of Stocks"
In
an earlier time many schools taught "civics," now a
part of the social studies curriculum. Only one
fragment from that high school course remains in my
memory—the
purpose of a public corporation.
The test question required as the approved response:
an organization in which many persons pool small
sums of money in amassing a large amount, enabling
the group to pursue a mutually profitable endeavor,
for the benefit of all, in which none alone might
have engaged. As a sixteen-year-old with no
other information, that seemed reasonable at the
time. Over the years it became clear the public
corporation serves a variety of purposes for diverse
interests. To the corporate officer or director it
is an opportunity to collect bonuses and receive
options to be exercised at a profit. To a middle
management employee it is a convenient place to
exchange memoranda and process paper while deriving
a living wage. To the director of internal revenue
it represents a fine source of double taxation. To
the investing public it is little more than a stock
certificate, which may rise in value while providing
a quarterly dividend. It is to this last group that
we shall concentrate our attention.
Tune in, if you will, to one of the many radio or
television talk shows that feature a financial
authority dispensing advice to the unseen audience.
Often the public is invited to phone in questions.
At other times the authority simply discourses at
length on one or more subjects. This is the world
of the celebrity investment advisor—an
exercise in capitalism at its most pretentious.
Under the circumstances, this sort of mass market
financial counseling, though long in coming, was a
phenomenon bound to happen. Whatever praise or
criticism you may direct at the American public
school system, one thing must be acknowledged: The
handling of personal financial affairs is not a
subject to which much attention is devoted.
Whatever the average American knows about investing
money did not come from the classroom. This is
understandable, of course, if only because the
typical classroom teacher is equally mystified by
the world of money.
If
you pay much attention to the investment advice
provided by the media experts, you’ll notice two
things. The first is that the subjects covered tend
to repeat regularly. The second, and even more
notable, is that the views offered by the majority
of analysts are predictable. A conventional wisdom
exists into which each problem is encased. This may
be acceptable for generally sound advice, but often
this is not the case. However, of one thing I am
convinced: A recognized authority need not always be
correct, but he or she must always be
certain. Perhaps my underlying aversion to the
omniscient investment advisor is the inherent
contradiction of human nature. I believe that no
one who truly knows what the financial future holds
willingly divulges that information to the general
public.
In
recent years the pundits’ advice is found in a
variety of settings. In addition to radio and
television, many are now recognized authors, with
their books aggressively advertised and prominently
displayed. In addition, their reach now spreads to
the lecture circuit, including seminars and
workshops; to newsletters, both postal (snail
mail) and e-mail; and to colorful and elaborate
websites. Thanks to effective marketing campaigns,
some are well known, with their advice widely sought
and presumably followed. Many of the names you
recognize, such as Louis Rukeyser, The Motley Fools,
The Beardstown Ladies, and Wade Cook, if only for
their notoriety. Though most tend to be
entertaining, you must weigh the advice of each
carefully—with
a healthy dose of skepticism—while
you try not to forget the classic definition of a
celebrity: someone who is famous for being famous.
Of
all the media advisors, there is one I consider
worth listening to. His name is Bob Brinker, and
his syndicated radio show, dating back to 1985,
broadcasts several hours each Saturday and Sunday
across the nation (See Resources). Without a doubt,
he is head and shoulders above his competitors. His
refreshing approach is one that cautions prudence
and recognizes inherent value. Both the monthly
newsletter he issues, Marketimer, and his
website spark my interest, with the sound practical
advice he gives to callers well worth the time
spent. I tune in on a regular basis.
Irrespective of the basic soundness of the
investment advisory profession itself, the
overwhelming fixation of most practitioners is on
common stocks, often consolidated in one or more
mutual funds. There are legitimate reasons why the
common stock approach makes sense for the advisors,
if not always for their clients. The primary reason
is that common stock in a public corporation now
occupies an anointed status within both the
investment and the legal communities. Within most
limits, an advisor is held blameless if
recommendations on this investment vehicle prove
less than astute. And, as expected, with common
stocks widely touted, natural client resistance is
reduced.
Whatever else may be said about common stocks (and
there is much), their general acceptability seems
established in the realm of folklore. There is an
analogy which comes to mind of another American
tradition: that the best food in the diners and
cafes along the nation's highways is found where
there are the greatest number of parked trucks. It
is rumored that someone once polled the thirty-five
truck drivers eating lunch at one favorite truck
stop along old Route 66 outside Albuquerque, New
Mexico, to see why they preferred that cafe. The
results may seem contrary to expectations. One
driver owned a small interest in the cafe; a second
dated the morning shift waitress; a third noted he
always got sleepy at that point on his run; and the
other thirty-two said: "Because I always see a lot
of trucks parked here, and you know that means the
food must be good."
So
let us take a closer look at some of the standard
recommendations passed on to the stock-investing
public by the "experts" to see if they square with
reality.
"There is treasure
hidden all around you!"
"A. B. Jacobs no-nonsense approach to prosperity offers invaluable insights into the fundamentals of modern living. From education and health to real estate, taxes, and social security, he lays a clear path toward success in increasingly more complex everyday issues."
--Erin Aislinn, author of It Happened in Florence